Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#9
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#18
Pace69.2#125
Improvement+1.8#89

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#9
Improvement+1.7#79

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#31
Improvement+0.1#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 3.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 59.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round75.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight21.1% n/a n/a
Final Four10.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 184   Charleston Southern W 85-57 96%     1 - 0 +23.5 +0.1 +20.7
  Nov 17, 2011 86   Colorado W 67-58 81%     2 - 0 +14.7 -0.1 +15.0
  Nov 18, 2011 32   Alabama L 60-70 66%     2 - 1 +0.8 -5.1 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2011 35   Temple L 74-78 OT 67%     2 - 2 +6.6 -4.0 +11.1
  Nov 25, 2011 124   UAB W 68-46 87%     3 - 2 +25.0 +0.9 +24.7
  Dec 01, 2011 163   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-60 94%     4 - 2 +12.0 -9.1 +19.9
  Dec 04, 2011 26   UNLV W 89-70 75%     5 - 2 +27.2 +34.4 -4.4
  Dec 07, 2011 94   @ Tulsa W 77-67 73%     6 - 2 +18.6 +13.5 +5.7
  Dec 10, 2011 133   Utah St. W 83-76 93%     7 - 2 +6.0 +6.5 -0.6
  Dec 14, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 94-44 99%     8 - 2 +32.2 +5.7 +21.4
  Dec 28, 2011 256   @ Bradley W 90-51 94%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +36.8 +15.8 +19.8
  Dec 31, 2011 28   Creighton L 61-68 76%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +0.8 -13.0 +13.7
  Jan 04, 2012 113   @ Evansville W 67-66 77%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +8.2 +6.7 +1.7
  Jan 07, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois W 83-73 91%     11 - 3 3 - 1 +10.4 +10.3 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 65-62 90%     12 - 3 4 - 1 +4.4 +0.7 +4.0
  Jan 13, 2012 256   Bradley W 78-41 98%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +28.0 +7.3 +22.7
  Jan 15, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. W 75-65 81%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +15.8 +14.4 +2.4
  Jan 18, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa W 71-68 73%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +11.9 +9.7 +2.4
  Jan 21, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 85-42 97%     16 - 3 8 - 1 +36.6 +8.5 +27.6
  Jan 25, 2012 113   Evansville W 86-74 91%     17 - 3 9 - 1 +12.4 +8.8 +3.4
  Jan 28, 2012 130   @ Drake L 86-93 3OT 81%     17 - 4 9 - 2 -1.1 -2.4 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. W 74-67 74%     18 - 4 10 - 2 +15.4 +12.4 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 71-66 92%     19 - 4 11 - 2 +4.0 -1.1 +5.1
  Feb 08, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 82-57 88%     20 - 4 12 - 2 +27.1 +21.9 +8.6
  Feb 11, 2012 28   @ Creighton W 89-68 52%     21 - 4 13 - 2 +35.6 +23.7 +13.4
  Feb 15, 2012 97   Missouri St. W 73-58 89%     22 - 4 14 - 2 +16.6 +11.9 +6.8
  Feb 18, 2012 74   @ Davidson W 91-74 69%     23 - 4 +27.1 +19.9 +7.1
  Feb 22, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. W 68-55 75%     24 - 4 15 - 2 +21.2 +3.5 +18.6
  Feb 25, 2012 130   Drake W 81-58 92%     25 - 4 16 - 2 +22.1 +4.5 +16.1
  Mar 02, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 72-48 88%     26 - 4 +26.4 +5.6 +22.0
  Mar 03, 2012 101   Illinois St. L 64-65 83%     26 - 5 +3.8 -5.1 +8.8
Projected Record 26.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 4.3 0.6 2.5 18.6 38.1 30.4 8.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.9%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 4.3 0.6 2.5 18.6 38.1 30.4 8.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.9%